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Aalesund vs Tromso Prediction, H2H & Stats

Norway: Eliteserien · Regular Season - 16
Aalesund

Aalesund

14th in table
LWLWL
Full time
2:6
HT 1 - 1
Tromso

Tromso

6th in table
DDLWL
7' Mathias Tonnessen
9' D. Edvardsson
42' I. Vadebu (Own Goal)
46' O. Gudmundsson (Own Goal)
54' A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd
59' E. Osenbroch
69' A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd
81' H. Larsen
90' U. Syversen (Own Goal)
Sunday, 2 August 2026
Color Line Stadion, Aalesund
Marius Grotta, Norway

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Aalesund wins
3Draws
2Tromso wins
3.4Goals per game
89%Both scored
78%Over 2.5
25 May 2026Eliteserien Tromso 1 - 1 Aalesund
08 Mar 2025Friendlies Clubs Aalesund 1 - 0 Tromso
08 Oct 2023Eliteserien Tromso 1 - 2 Aalesund
11 Jun 2023Eliteserien Aalesund 2 - 3 Tromso
13 Nov 2022Eliteserien Tromso 2 - 2 Aalesund
18 Apr 2022Eliteserien Aalesund 2 - 2 Tromso
20 Aug 2017Eliteserien Tromso 3 - 2 Aalesund
30 Apr 2017Eliteserien Aalesund 3 - 1 Tromso
05 Aug 2016Eliteserien Tromso 1 - 2 Aalesund

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Viking 251924 64:26 +38 59 LWWWW
2 Bodo/Glimt 251924 61:23 +38 59 WLWWL
3 Molde 251348 59:39 +20 43 LWWDL
4 Rosenborg 251348 49:31 +18 43 WWWDW
5 Lillestrom 251339 36:33 +3 42 WWWDL
6 Tromso 251177 43:38 +5 40 LLDDW
7 Brann 2510213 45:42 +3 32 WLLLW
8 Valerenga 259511 43:46 -3 32 WWWLD
9 Sarpsborg 08 FF 258710 32:39 -7 31 LWLWL
10 KFUM Oslo 258710 32:41 -9 31 DDDWW
11 Fredrikstad 258512 29:44 -15 29 LLLDD
12 Sandefjord 257612 26:34 -8 27 WLLDW
13 Ham-Kam 257612 35:53 -18 27 DLLWL
14 Aalesund 255911 43:57 -14 24 LLWLW
15 Kristiansund BK 256514 29:51 -22 23 WDLLL
16 Start 255416 26:55 -29 19 LWLLL

Top scorers

Eliteserien
1 Amin ChiakhaRosenborg 17goals 4assists 24apps
2 P. ChristiansenViking 15goals 7assists 24apps
3 A. HelmersenBodo/Glimt 13goals 1assists 22apps
4 K. LonebuMolde 13goals 2assists 22apps
5 L. AlvheimKristiansund BK 12goals 0assists 23apps
6 L. HarenValerenga 11goals 2assists 24apps
7 M. ChristensenAalesund 11goals 5assists 24apps
8 E. BreivikMolde 10goals 10assists 25apps
9 H. LarsenTromso 10goals 4assists 25apps
10 S. Kvia-EgeskogViking 9goals 3assists 25apps

Recent form

5 W 0 D 5 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Eliteserien Aalesund 3 - 4 Sandefjord L
28 Oct 2026NM Cupen Kristiansund BK 0 - 2 Aalesund W
25 Oct 2026Eliteserien Sarpsborg 08 FF 2 - 1 Aalesund L
17 Oct 2026Eliteserien Kristiansund BK 1 - 4 Aalesund W
11 Oct 2026Eliteserien Aalesund 2 - 4 Sarpsborg 08 FF L
19 Sep 2026Eliteserien Molde 1 - 2 Aalesund W
16 Sep 2026NM Cupen Førde 3 - 4 Aalesund W
13 Sep 2026Eliteserien KFUM Oslo 2 - 1 Aalesund L
04 Sep 2026Eliteserien Aalesund 2 - 0 Start W
30 Aug 2026Eliteserien Viking 2 - 1 Aalesund L
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Eliteserien Valerenga 4 - 0 Tromso L
28 Oct 2026NM Cupen Tromso 3 - 2 Haugesund W
25 Oct 2026Eliteserien Viking 3 - 1 Tromso L
18 Oct 2026Eliteserien Tromso 1 - 1 KFUM Oslo D
11 Oct 2026Eliteserien Fredrikstad 1 - 1 Tromso D
20 Sep 2026Eliteserien Tromso 3 - 2 Ham-Kam W
16 Sep 2026NM Cupen Alta 1 - 2 Tromso W
12 Sep 2026Eliteserien Rosenborg 5 - 3 Tromso L
06 Sep 2026Eliteserien Kristiansund BK 2 - 0 Tromso L
30 Aug 2026Eliteserien Tromso 0 - 0 Sarpsborg 08 FF D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Aalesund Draw Tromso
Value spotted: Aalesund win at 3.58 (model 35% vs market 27%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11%
1-2 8.8%
2-1 8%
0-1 7.6%
1-0 6.9%
2-2 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.45 Aalesund · 1.6 Tromso

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams score61%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
33%
Form
67%
44%
Attack
56%
37%
Defence
63%
37%
Goal model
63%
62%
Head to head
38%
53%
Goals
47%
44%
Overall
55%

Season numbers

Eliteserien 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
4
3
16-30'
5
1
31-45'
1
5
46-60'
8
1
61-75'
3
6
76-90'
5
3
0-15'
0
4
16-30'
3
6
31-45'
2
5
46-60'
4
5
61-75'
3
6
76-90'
2
Aalesund Tromso

Side by side

Aalesund Tromso
14 Played 15
2 Won 9
7 Drawn 4
5 Lost 2
1.4 Goals scored per game 1.7
2.1 Goals conceded per game 1
1.6 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 1.3
0 Clean sheets 8
2 Failed to score 4
2 Longest winning run 4
2-1 Biggest win 4-0
1-3 Biggest defeat 0-5
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Aalesund vs Tromso: preview and prediction

Aalesund host Tromso in the Norway Eliteserien (Regular Season - 16) on Sunday, 2nd August 2026 at 16:00 at Color Line Stadion, Aalesund. Aalesund sit 14th in the table and Tromso 6th.

Aalesund are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-L). Tromso have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-L-W-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Aalesund won 4, Tromso won 2 and 3 ended level. These games average 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 89% and over 2.5 goals in 78%.

Our goal model expects about 1.45 goals for Aalesund and 1.6 for Tromso. It gives Tromso the edge (35% home win, 24% draw, 41% away win), 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.29. We also like BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Aalesund vs Tromso FAQs

What is the best prediction for Aalesund vs Tromso?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.29 odds).

Who will win Aalesund vs Tromso?

Tromso are favourites: our model gives Aalesund 35%, the draw 24% and Tromso 41%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 61% chance in our model, and it happened in 89% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Aalesund vs Tromso?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 2nd August 2026 at 16:00 at Color Line Stadion, Aalesund.

Who is the referee?

Marius Grotta, Norway is in charge of this game.